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Daily network digest

Monday, August 12, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

PAXGUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.07× the influence of an average node across 333 assets.

assets
333
Density
0.146
Clustering
0.342
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PAXGUSD 1 0.01224 4.07× 51.8% 18.7% SDNUSD, HNTUSD, IMXUSD, LPTUSD, SKLUSD
REPUSD 2 0.01185 3.95× 45.5% 16.0% IMXUSD, MLNUSD, EWTUSD, CRVUSD, SBRUSD
DIMOUSD 3 0.01074 3.58× 50.0% 15.7% BNTUSD, ACHUSD, LQTYUSD, LMWRUSD, FISUSD
TIMEUSD 4 0.01023 3.41× 44.3% 16.6% CHRUSD, STGUSD, REPV2USD, APEUSD, FOXUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.01022 3.40× 41.6% 19.3% AERGOUSD, BNTUSD, ELAUSD, AVTUSD, UMAUSD
XRPBTC 6 0.00965 3.21× 50.0% 10.8% BOBAUSD, XDCUSD, RBNUSD, HMTUSD, SUKUUSD
NYMUSD 7 0.00956 3.18× 41.6% 14.2% NMRUSD, DARUSD, COMPUSD, INDEXUSD, XRDUSD
MULTIUSD 8 0.00916 3.05× 38.9% 29.8% DNTUSD, SCRTUSD, DYDXEUR, CGLDUSD, GODSUSD
INTRUSD 9 0.00898 2.99× 44.9% 27.4% KAVAUSD, GNOUSD, CGLDUSD, TUSD, MULTIUSD
KILTUSD 10 0.00847 2.82× 34.9% 24.1% BONDUSD, ETHAUD, KARUSD, ETHUSD, MASKUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-08-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PAXGUSD 0.012240.00627 +0.00597
KILTUSD 0.008470.00314 +0.00533
TIMEUSD 0.010230.00582 +0.00441
INVUSD 0.006080.00168 +0.00440
INTRUSD 0.008980.00468 +0.00430

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TRBUSD 0.004170.01108 -0.00691
TLOSUSD 0.002440.00692 -0.00447
BLZUSD 0.005250.00958 -0.00433
KRLUSD 0.007920.01215 -0.00423
SHPINGUSD 0.005120.00917 -0.00405

Foreign exchange

SEKNOK was the most central name, carrying 5.73× the influence of an average node across 637 pairs.

pairs
637
Density
0.018
Clustering
0.326
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
SEKNOK 1 0.00899 5.73× 6.6% 3.6% COPUSD, PLNSEK, SEKPLN, PLNNOK, NOKPLN
ARSBRL 2 0.00858 5.47× 7.7% 2.4% ARSCOP, PLNEUR, PLNCHF, ARSPEN, PLNHUF
EURRUB 3 0.00733 4.67× 6.0% 2.5% USDDJF, ARSCAD, USDRWF, KWDAED, EURAED
USDPGK 4 0.00726 4.63× 8.8% 4.1% BWPGBP, GBPBWP, LRDGBP, RUBEUR, MWKGBP
ZARARS 5 0.00705 4.49× 6.8% 3.5% ARSCOP, ZARCZK, CZKZAR, PLNEUR, PLNCHF
COPARS 6 0.00702 4.47× 3.8% 0.8% HUFPLN, JPYMYR, AUDPHP, AUDMYR, PHPJPY
KRWBRL 7 0.00665 4.24× 4.9% 0.3% CZKJPY, JPYCZK
COPCLP 8 0.00634 4.04× 8.3% 2.5% TZSZAR, DKKRUB, EGPZAR, ZARGBP, NZDPLN
ARSCOP 9 0.00607 3.86× 3.8% 5.3% DKKRUB, JPYNOK, GBPNGN, ZAREGP, USDKRW
XAURUB 10 0.00569 3.62× 3.3% 2.7% ZARTRY, ZARIDR, ZARRON, PHPJPY, RONZAR

Rising influence vs 2024-08-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ARSBRL 0.008580.00184 +0.00674
COPARS 0.007020.00054 +0.00648
EURRUB 0.007330.00096 +0.00637
SEKNOK 0.008990.00262 +0.00636
KRWBRL 0.006650.00032 +0.00633

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.001210.01635 -0.01514
NOKAED 0.001770.01055 -0.00878
SEKZAR 0.001390.00782 -0.00644
NZDHUF 0.000550.00667 -0.00611
CHFPKR 0.003900.00929 -0.00539

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.