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Daily network digest

Monday, August 5, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

KRLUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.92× the influence of an average node across 334 assets.

assets
334
Density
0.155
Clustering
0.363
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
KRLUSD 1 0.01173 3.92× 49.5% 9.0% XRPBTC, TRXUSD, LTCBTC, EWTUSD, RADUSD
TRBUSD 2 0.01141 3.81× 56.8% 17.7% GSTUSD, SCUSD, LPTUSD, TEERUSD, PHAUSD
REPUSD 3 0.01062 3.55× 40.2% 26.4% RBCUSD, XYOUSD, PNKUSD, WAXLUSD, AKTEUR
TSDUSD 4 0.01010 3.37× 52.6% 35.4% POLISUSD, CGLDUSD, EGLDUSD, ARBUSD, SYNUSD
BLZUSD 5 0.00963 3.22× 47.7% 22.8% DIMOUSD, PUNDIXUSD, GALUSD, QTUMUSD, AIRUSD
TLOSUSD 6 0.00902 3.01× 35.7% 9.9% MUSEUSD, DEXTUSD, QNTUSD, KILTUSD, YFIUSD
DIMOUSD 7 0.00854 2.85× 41.1% 15.9% BONDUSD, REPUSD, FXUSD, DUSKUSD, HFTUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00833 2.78× 38.1% 20.4% BNTUSD, KILTUSD, CROUSD, TONUSD, DEXTUSD
MULTIUSD 9 0.00826 2.76× 37.2% 35.1% LTCAUD, AERGOUSD, BANDUSD, OSMOUSD, REPUSD
XDCUSD 10 0.00820 2.74× 43.2% 8.7% GNOUSD, IMXUSD, BNTUSD, STORJUSD, ETHWUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-08-04

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRLUSD 0.011730.00323 +0.00850
TSDUSD 0.010100.00209 +0.00801
TRBUSD 0.011410.00353 +0.00788
MULTIUSD 0.008260.00324 +0.00501
DIMOUSD 0.008540.00353 +0.00501

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.003260.01166 -0.00840
DESOUSD 0.004240.01241 -0.00817
EULUSD 0.002610.00931 -0.00671
MVUSD 0.002260.00690 -0.00464
CTXUSD 0.002910.00736 -0.00444

Foreign exchange

SEKNOK was the most central name, carrying 6.18× the influence of an average node across 654 pairs.

pairs
654
Density
0.016
Clustering
0.324
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
SEKNOK 1 0.00945 6.18× 6.1% 3.2% COPUSD, PLNSEK, DKKPKR, SEKPLN, DKKRUB
ZARTND 2 0.00827 5.41× 1.5% 0.2% NZDPKR
GBPMVR 3 0.00812 5.31× 1.2% 0.2% ZARTND
RUBNOK 4 0.00795 5.20× 8.6% 3.7% USDMAD, NZDAED, AUDAED, UGXZAR, GBPKZT
NZDPKR 5 0.00746 4.88× 0.2% 0.2% GBPMVR
DKKZAR 6 0.00627 4.10× 4.0% 0.9% ZARINR, KRWUSD, COPUSD, LKRZAR, AEDZAR
GBPCOP 7 0.00608 3.98× 8.1% 3.2% RUBPLN, ZARCNY, ZARPKR, THBGBP, GBPKWD
GBPXPF 8 0.00596 3.90× 0.5% 0.3% EURZMW, EURCLP
GBPAFN 9 0.00590 3.86× 8.6% 4.1% USDPGK, ZARCOP, COPZAR, MWKZAR, GHSZAR
INRTHB 10 0.00577 3.78× 6.1% 2.5% AMDGBP, GBPAMD, ZARPKR, RUBPLN, TWDZAR

Rising influence vs 2024-08-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPMVR 0.008120.00033 +0.00779
SEKNOK 0.009450.00196 +0.00748
ZARTND 0.008270.00090 +0.00737
NZDPKR 0.007460.00046 +0.00700
GBPXPF 0.005960.00033 +0.00562

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.001460.01949 -0.01803
ARSCLP 0.001620.00987 -0.00826
CHFPKR 0.001430.00922 -0.00778
NZDTHB 0.000380.00762 -0.00725
NZDHUF 0.000630.00716 -0.00653

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.