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Daily network digest

Monday, July 29, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DESOUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.21× the influence of an average node across 334 assets.

assets
334
Density
0.176
Clustering
0.380
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DESOUSD 1 0.01260 4.21× 67.0% 23.7% NKNUSD, BLZUSD, XYOUSD, RBCUSD, UMAUSD
DVFUSD 2 0.01241 4.14× 60.4% 16.8% CVCUSD, LCXUSD, TEERUSD, API3USD, REPUSD
TEERUSD 3 0.01128 3.77× 50.8% 18.0% LITUSD, UNIUSD, SHPINGUSD, BTTUSD, KINUSD
BTRSTUSD 4 0.01074 3.59× 48.3% 34.8% EWTUSD, GHSTUSD, XRPBTC, ORNUSD, ALGOUSD
EULUSD 5 0.00889 2.97× 48.9% 21.9% BOBAUSD, GARIUSD, DESOUSD, RBCUSD, BCHGBP
LTCBTC 6 0.00791 2.64× 39.3% 16.2% TVKUSD, BALUSD, KILTUSD, LPTUSD, XRDUSD
XRPBTC 7 0.00773 2.58× 41.7% 17.7% LCXUSD, DVFUSD, FXUSD, UMAUSD, XDCUSD
REPUSD 8 0.00769 2.57× 42.0% 17.1% SGBUSD, LCXUSD, CQTUSD, TONUSD, BONDUSD
KINUSD 9 0.00758 2.53× 36.6% 45.6% KSMUSD, FLOWUSD, TUSD, MOVRUSD, THETAUSD
CTXUSD 10 0.00692 2.31× 38.1% 13.8% TOKEUSD, ARPAUSD, PROUSD, MNAUSD, PUNDIXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-07-28

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.011280.00311 +0.00817
EULUSD 0.008890.00308 +0.00580
DVFUSD 0.012410.00715 +0.00526
BTRSTUSD 0.010740.00701 +0.00373
GALUSD 0.005920.00227 +0.00365

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.004020.01445 -0.01043
INTRUSD 0.003460.00992 -0.00645
PAXGUSD 0.004670.01090 -0.00623
XRDUSD 0.003020.00875 -0.00573
TIMEUSD 0.004880.01045 -0.00557

Foreign exchange

SEKNOK was the most central name, carrying 7.56× the influence of an average node across 599 pairs.

pairs
599
Density
0.016
Clustering
0.334
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
SEKNOK 1 0.01261 7.56× 7.2% 3.7% COPUSD, PLNSEK, SEKPLN, MXNZAR, MXNJPY
XAUCNY 2 0.00884 5.30× 4.2% 1.5% XAUUSD, XAUSAR, XAUZAR, XAUINR, XAUJPY
COPMXN 3 0.00857 5.13× 2.5% 1.0% CZKJPY, JPYCZK, ZARAUD, SGDNOK, ZARSGD
THBUSD 4 0.00773 4.63× 2.2% 1.3% CADSEK, SEKINR, SEKJPY, DKKPKR, MXNUSD
EURRUB 5 0.00706 4.23× 5.4% 2.8% ARSCAD, ARSCHF, ARSMXN, AEDJPY, SGDARS
XAURUB 6 0.00692 4.15× 3.7% 3.7% XAUUSD, ZARTRY, PHPJPY, ZARIDR, RONZAR
USDPGK 7 0.00665 3.98× 8.4% 2.7% BWPGBP, ZARBWP, BWPZAR, GBPBWP, GBPMWK
SEKINR 8 0.00648 3.88× 2.2% 2.5% GBPZAR, ZARNZD, DKKZAR, ZARCZK, CZKZAR
THBPKR 9 0.00633 3.79× 1.2% 0.5% AUDPKR, CADPKR, ZARTND
MXNZAR 10 0.00598 3.58× 7.2% 4.8% ZARDKK, ZARSEK, SGDJPY, ZARINR, ZARUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-07-26

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
SEKNOK 0.012610.00245 +0.01017
XAUCNY 0.008840.00161 +0.00723
SEKINR 0.006480.00076 +0.00572
MXNZAR 0.005980.00041 +0.00557
THBUSD 0.007730.00229 +0.00544

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.002100.01699 -0.01488
KWDEUR 0.004050.01125 -0.00720
TWDTHB 0.000510.00703 -0.00652
NOKZAR 0.000430.00612 -0.00569
EUROMR 0.002330.00794 -0.00562

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.