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Daily network digest

Friday, July 26, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DESOUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.41× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.175
Clustering
0.381
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DESOUSD 1 0.01312 4.41× 68.1% 20.9% BLZUSD, RBCUSD, XYOUSD, RARIEUR, GSTUSD
DVFUSD 2 0.01198 4.02× 60.3% 17.9% CVCUSD, LCXUSD, SWFTCUSD, API3USD, TEERUSD
TEERUSD 3 0.01114 3.74× 49.6% 20.0% LITUSD, UNIUSD, ENJUSD, BTTUSD, KINUSD
BTRSTUSD 4 0.01026 3.45× 47.2% 33.1% EWTUSD, ORNUSD, XRPBTC, ILVUSD, ALGOUSD
EULUSD 5 0.00954 3.21× 52.5% 20.0% BOBAUSD, GARIUSD, BCHEUR, DESOUSD, BCHGBP
LTCBTC 6 0.00797 2.68× 42.7% 17.0% TVKUSD, KILTUSD, RBNUSD, ETHAUD, BALUSD
XRPBTC 7 0.00764 2.57× 42.4% 15.8% DVFUSD, FXUSD, XDCUSD, LCXUSD, UMAUSD
REPUSD 8 0.00762 2.56× 39.7% 17.9% LCXUSD, DEXTUSD, SGBUSD, WAXLUSD, HBARUSD
KINUSD 9 0.00744 2.50× 34.6% 41.8% KSMUSD, THETAUSD, FLOWUSD, SCRTUSD, BCHUSD
CTXUSD 10 0.00705 2.37× 39.4% 11.9% TOKEUSD, ARPAUSD, PROUSD, TUSD, BNCUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-07-25

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.011140.00376 +0.00738
EULUSD 0.009540.00329 +0.00625
DVFUSD 0.011980.00631 +0.00567
HDXUSD 0.005510.00188 +0.00363
DESOUSD 0.013120.00956 +0.00356

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.004590.01377 -0.00918
PAXGUSD 0.004500.01116 -0.00666
TIMEUSD 0.005000.01101 -0.00601
KILTUSD 0.003200.00910 -0.00590
INTRUSD 0.003030.00824 -0.00521

Foreign exchange

ZARTRY was the most central name, carrying 10.82× the influence of an average node across 637 pairs.

pairs
637
Density
0.015
Clustering
0.290
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARTRY 1 0.01699 10.82× 8.2% 5.2% XAUAUD, SGDJPY, CLPAUD, XAUCAD, XAGAUD
KWDEUR 2 0.01125 7.17× 6.1% 2.7% EURBHD, USDMWK, CDFUSD, EURKWD, EUROMR
RUBNOK 3 0.00908 5.78× 4.1% 1.9% EURZAR, ZARPKR, BRLSEK, PKRZAR, SGDARS
EUROMR 4 0.00794 5.06× 6.6% 7.1% KWDEUR, MWKUSD, EURPHP, ARSZAR, USDSZL
TWDTHB 5 0.00703 4.48× 4.6% 0.5% BRLPEN, CHFCLP, CLPCHF
BRLAUD 6 0.00684 4.36× 1.6% 0.3% BRLMXN, BRLCOP
NZDHUF 7 0.00676 4.31× 3.9% 0.2% ZARTRY
BRLCLP 8 0.00668 4.25× 6.0% 1.3% KRWUSD, DKKNOK, MXNPLN, XAGTRY, TWDKRW
CLPARS 9 0.00651 4.15× 1.1% 0.8% NZDTRY, XAUARS, AUDTRY, TRYJPY, CNYCLP
SEKZAR 10 0.00619 3.95× 4.4% 1.3% TWDTHB, CHFCLP, CLPCHF, BRLAUD, MURGBP

Rising influence vs 2024-07-25

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.016990.00225 +0.01474
KWDEUR 0.011250.00234 +0.00891
TWDTHB 0.007030.00043 +0.00660
NOKZAR 0.006120.00052 +0.00559
THBPKR 0.005960.00051 +0.00545

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
EURRUB 0.002130.00940 -0.00727
COPMXN 0.003540.01052 -0.00697
SEKNOK 0.002450.00901 -0.00656
USDPGK 0.002570.00764 -0.00507
THBUSD 0.002290.00731 -0.00502

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.