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Daily network digest

Wednesday, July 17, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DESOUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.96× the influence of an average node across 338 assets.

assets
338
Density
0.171
Clustering
0.368
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DESOUSD 1 0.01469 4.96× 69.1% 19.3% RARIEUR, BLZUSD, XYOUSD, CBETHUSD, ETHUSD
DVFUSD 2 0.01118 3.78× 56.4% 18.1% LCXUSD, CVCUSD, CVXUSD, PNKUSD, SWFTCUSD
TEERUSD 3 0.01077 3.64× 48.4% 23.4% LITUSD, NYMUSD, UNIUSD, ELAUSD, REPV2USD
BTRSTUSD 4 0.00989 3.34× 46.0% 22.8% ORNUSD, ERNUSD, XRPBTC, EWTUSD, GHSTUSD
EULUSD 5 0.00880 2.97× 49.6% 16.6% BOBAUSD, DVFUSD, GARIUSD, DESOUSD, BCHEUR
KINUSD 6 0.00846 2.86× 39.5% 41.8% BCHUSD, FLOWUSD, BTCJPY, SCRTUSD, KAVAUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.00810 2.74× 42.1% 22.3% TVKUSD, QIUSD, LPTUSD, BALUSD, AVAXUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.00799 2.70× 42.4% 11.9% DVFUSD, XDCUSD, ETHBTC, LCXUSD, DOGEUSD
REPUSD 9 0.00744 2.52× 41.5% 13.1% CQTUSD, LCXUSD, BCHGBP, SGBUSD, AMPUSD
ETHBTC 10 0.00728 2.46× 44.5% 27.3% XDCUSD, ZECUSD, BNCUSD, WCFGUSD, BSXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-07-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.010770.00381 +0.00697
DVFUSD 0.011180.00560 +0.00558
EULUSD 0.008800.00356 +0.00524
DESOUSD 0.014690.00980 +0.00488
BTRSTUSD 0.009890.00594 +0.00395

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.003650.01357 -0.00992
KILTUSD 0.002380.00896 -0.00658
INTRUSD 0.002980.00944 -0.00646
TIMEUSD 0.005050.01139 -0.00634
PAXGUSD 0.004690.01062 -0.00594

Foreign exchange

ILSCAD was the most central name, carrying 4.75× the influence of an average node across 627 pairs.

pairs
627
Density
0.018
Clustering
0.315
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ILSCAD 1 0.00758 4.75× 2.1% 2.1% NZDPLN, HKDNZD, ZARNZD, AUDMYR, XAUKRW
ZARTRY 2 0.00704 4.41× 7.7% 3.4% SGDJPY, XAUKRW, XAUSAR, BRLCLP, PHPUSD
BRLCLP 3 0.00624 3.91× 6.4% 3.2% XAGKRW, XAGRUB, XAGTRY, KRWUSD, MYRNZD
ARSMXN 4 0.00598 3.75× 8.9% 8.0% USDMWK, USDSZL, KWDGBP, RUBNOK, OMRGBP
USDZAR 5 0.00583 3.65× 4.5% 3.7% MXNZAR, OMRZAR, AEDZAR, ZARINR, TZSZAR
EURKWD 6 0.00574 3.60× 3.2% 5.1% KWDEUR, SZLCHF, EURBHD, GBPALL, THBEUR
SGDPLN 7 0.00545 3.42× 1.3% 1.3% CLPPEN, PENCOP, COPCLP, PENCLP, CLPCOP
HKDARS 8 0.00533 3.34× 7.5% 6.2% USDMWK, USDSZL, GBPLRD, ARSCAD, RWFZAR
NZDZAR 9 0.00505 3.17× 7.7% 4.2% GHSZAR, ZARGHS, BRLSEK, MADZAR, INRTHB
CLPUSD 10 0.00493 3.09× 0.3% 0.3% KRWRUB, RUBKRW

Rising influence vs 2024-07-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDZAR 0.005830.00048 +0.00534
ILSCAD 0.007580.00228 +0.00529
CLPEUR 0.004840.00029 +0.00455
CLPUSD 0.004930.00054 +0.00439
HKDARS 0.005330.00161 +0.00372

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DKKPKR 0.002120.00820 -0.00608
SEKZAR 0.000930.00616 -0.00523
ZARTRY 0.007040.01225 -0.00522
EURCOP 0.001250.00607 -0.00482
USDMAD 0.002080.00687 -0.00480

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.