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Daily network digest

Monday, July 15, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

KRLUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.00× the influence of an average node across 336 assets.

assets
336
Density
0.167
Clustering
0.372
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
KRLUSD 1 0.01191 4.00× 51.0% 9.0% EWTUSD, TRXUSD, XRPBTC, LTCBTC, RADUSD
REPUSD 2 0.01187 3.99× 53.1% 19.1% RBCUSD, XYOUSD, XCNUSD, WAXLUSD, QIUSD
SHPINGUSD 3 0.00924 3.11× 43.9% 28.1% MUSEUSD, XLMUSD, MATHUSD, RAREUSD, EWTUSD
BLZUSD 4 0.00863 2.90× 42.7% 41.2% PUNDIXUSD, AERGOUSD, DOTUSD, CHZUSD, REPUSD
TSDUSD 5 0.00862 2.89× 51.3% 27.5% POLISUSD, EGLDUSD, CGLDUSD, BTRSTUSD, MINAUSD
TLOSUSD 6 0.00836 2.81× 37.9% 15.8% MUSEUSD, PROUSD, KILTUSD, RUNEUSD, AERGOUSD
MULTIUSD 7 0.00782 2.63× 38.2% 27.8% REPUSD, RPLUSD, TLOSUSD, RARIUSD, OSMOUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.00756 2.54× 39.1% 6.3% DSHUSD, DASHUSD, LTCAUD, HBARUSD, KEYUSD
LTCBTC 9 0.00744 2.50× 34.6% 17.6% CROUSD, BNTUSD, HBARUSD, XDCUSD, LCXUSD
EWTUSD 10 0.00725 2.44× 35.2% 20.3% TRXUSD, RADUSD, FXSUSD, HDXUSD, MULTIUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-07-14

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KRLUSD 0.011910.00242 +0.00949
SHPINGUSD 0.009240.00372 +0.00552
TLOSUSD 0.008360.00315 +0.00520
REPUSD 0.011870.00722 +0.00465
RAIUSD 0.004870.00086 +0.00402

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DESOUSD 0.004600.01483 -0.01022
TEERUSD 0.002270.00989 -0.00762
EULUSD 0.003140.00986 -0.00672
HDXUSD 0.001710.00621 -0.00449
BNCUSD 0.001510.00524 -0.00373

Foreign exchange

XAUCNY was the most central name, carrying 6.68× the influence of an average node across 614 pairs.

pairs
614
Density
0.016
Clustering
0.355
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUCNY 1 0.01087 6.68× 4.2% 2.3% XAUSAR, XAUUSD, XAGCAD, XAUZAR, XAGBRL
ZARIDR 2 0.00937 5.75× 6.4% 2.1% XAGJPY, XAGBRL, XAGUSD, XAGSAR, XAGINR
XAURUB 3 0.00907 5.57× 5.4% 2.4% FJDUSD, USDFJD, XAUUSD, ZARIDR, ZARTWD
JODILS 4 0.00631 3.87× 1.5% 1.1% ILSJOD, BRLEUR, BRLCHF, DKKTRY, GBPSAR
SEKNOK 5 0.00615 3.78× 3.4% 1.0% SEKPLN, DKKRUB, PLNSEK, PLNNOK, NOKPLN
THBEUR 6 0.00596 3.66× 1.1% 1.3% GBPALL, ALLUSD, BRLCAD, EURAED, BRLRSD
RUBUSD 7 0.00581 3.56× 0.5% 0.2% SEKRUB
SEKRUB 8 0.00577 3.54× 0.5% 0.2% RUBUSD
EURRUB 9 0.00570 3.50× 3.8% 1.1% NGNUSD, EURAED, USDDJF, MADUSD, USDUGX
GBPCOP 10 0.00555 3.41× 9.5% 3.1% THBGBP, AUDZAR, ZARCNY, USDIQD, RUBPLN

Rising influence vs 2024-07-12

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUCNY 0.010870.00215 +0.00873
ZARIDR 0.009370.00241 +0.00696
XAURUB 0.009070.00310 +0.00597
SEKNOK 0.006150.00129 +0.00486
SEKRUB 0.005770.00101 +0.00476

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTRY 0.004070.01239 -0.00832
CLPBRL 0.000410.00540 -0.00499
GBPTHB 0.000530.00526 -0.00473
MXNARS 0.000860.00536 -0.00450
GBPBRL 0.001450.00592 -0.00447

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.