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Daily network digest

Thursday, June 27, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.95× the influence of an average node across 338 assets.

assets
338
Density
0.177
Clustering
0.391
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.01169 3.95× 55.8% 22.3% XYOUSD, RBCUSD, IOTUSD, PNKUSD, BSXUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.01061 3.59× 51.6% 11.6% EWTUSD, KEEPUSD, XRPBTC, TRXUSD, LTCBTC
TSDUSD 3 0.01054 3.56× 60.5% 39.8% POLISUSD, HOPRUSD, EGLDUSD, KSMUSD, CGLDUSD
SHPINGUSD 4 0.00909 3.07× 45.7% 29.1% EWTUSD, DOTUSD, BTCJPY, MATHUSD, BOBAUSD
BTRSTUSD 5 0.00901 3.04× 45.4% 27.6% PNGUSD, XRPBTC, XCNUSD, RADUSD, MATICUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.00882 2.98× 44.5% 12.5% CROUSD, KINTUSD, PAXGUSD, BTCUSD, USTUSD
EWTUSD 7 0.00817 2.76× 40.4% 20.2% RADUSD, ARPAUSD, FXSUSD, IOTUSD, MULTIUSD
TLOSUSD 8 0.00754 2.55× 35.6% 21.7% RNDRUSD, LTCBTC, AVTUSD, PROUSD, BTCJPY
XRPBTC 9 0.00740 2.50× 39.2% 14.8% DNTUSD, AKTUSD, KEYUSD, LTCEUR, RBNUSD
GNOUSD 10 0.00725 2.45× 40.7% 25.8% QIUSD, LOKAUSD, NEXOUSD, GTCUSD, BCHEUR

Rising influence vs 2024-06-26

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.010540.00230 +0.00824
KRLUSD 0.010610.00324 +0.00737
REPUSD 0.011690.00589 +0.00580
SHPINGUSD 0.009090.00350 +0.00559
EWTUSD 0.008170.00391 +0.00425

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DESOUSD 0.003130.01257 -0.00944
TEERUSD 0.002470.00872 -0.00625
EULUSD 0.002800.00725 -0.00445
NODLUSD 0.001260.00527 -0.00401
BNCUSD 0.001590.00524 -0.00365

Foreign exchange

PLNMXN was the most central name, carrying 5.55× the influence of an average node across 644 pairs.

pairs
644
Density
0.017
Clustering
0.354
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PLNMXN 1 0.00862 5.55× 4.4% 1.2% MXNPLN, DKKZAR, NZDHUF, XAUSAR, XAUUSD
MXNPLN 2 0.00778 5.01× 3.9% 0.8% PLNMXN, NZDHUF, DKKZAR, XAUSAR, CLPARS
XAURUB 3 0.00691 4.45× 5.3% 2.8% ZARPLN, XAUUSD, CLPARS, XAUZAR, PLNMXN
ZMWUSD 4 0.00661 4.26× 0.8% 0.3% CLPBRL, GBPLYD
ZARPLN 5 0.00640 4.12× 5.9% 2.2% XAGSAR, MXNPLN, XAURUB, ZARIDR, XAGUSD
KESUSD 6 0.00585 3.77× 7.2% 4.0% USDGHS, USDZMW, GBPZMW, GBPMGA, THBCNY
USDPGK 7 0.00573 3.69× 6.4% 2.8% BWPGBP, ZARBWP, GBPBWP, USDBWP, GBPMWK
CLPARS 8 0.00543 3.50× 3.4% 2.6% XAGAUD, XAGEUR, XAGUSD, XAGCAD, XAGGBP
MADUSD 9 0.00539 3.47× 5.1% 1.2% GBPUGX, EURTHB, MWKGBP, MWKUSD, GBPMWK
EURRUB 10 0.00523 3.37× 7.0% 2.5% ARSCAD, UZSUSD, ARSCHF, USDMWK, USDRWF

Rising influence vs 2024-06-26

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KESUSD 0.005850.00061 +0.00525
PLNMXN 0.008620.00354 +0.00508
XAUCNY 0.005220.00059 +0.00463
ZMWUSD 0.006610.00214 +0.00448
USDPGK 0.005730.00171 +0.00402

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARTHB 0.000960.00881 -0.00785
AUDSEK 0.000600.00566 -0.00507
COPUSD 0.001280.00625 -0.00497
ZARHUF 0.001980.00676 -0.00478
USDPLN 0.000860.00443 -0.00357

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.