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Daily network digest

Monday, June 24, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.92× the influence of an average node across 338 assets.

assets
338
Density
0.182
Clustering
0.394
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.01159 3.92× 57.0% 23.7% WAXLUSD, PNKUSD, IMXUSD, IOTUSD, POLSUSD
KRLUSD 2 0.01082 3.66× 51.9% 13.1% XRPBTC, EWTUSD, TRXUSD, KEEPUSD, LTCBTC
TSDUSD 3 0.01030 3.48× 60.5% 38.0% POLISUSD, EGLDUSD, HOPRUSD, VETUSD, SYNUSD
SHPINGUSD 4 0.00886 2.99× 46.3% 32.0% BTCJPY, EWTUSD, REPUSD, DOTUSD, XLMUSD
BTRSTUSD 5 0.00874 2.95× 46.3% 29.1% XRPBTC, PNGUSD, RADUSD, ORNUSD, HDXUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.00853 2.88× 45.1% 13.4% CROUSD, KINTUSD, PAXGUSD, BTCUSD, MOVRUSD
TLOSUSD 7 0.00746 2.52× 38.6% 19.3% AVTUSD, DEXTUSD, BTCJPY, PROUSD, ASTUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.00725 2.45× 38.3% 16.3% DNTUSD, KEYUSD, AKTUSD, TLOSUSD, DASHUSD
GNOUSD 9 0.00702 2.37× 39.8% 29.4% QIUSD, LOKAUSD, GTCUSD, BCHEUR, MCUSD
EWTUSD 10 0.00692 2.34× 35.9% 18.1% RADUSD, FXSUSD, MULTIUSD, IOTUSD, FILUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-06-23

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.010300.00249 +0.00781
KRLUSD 0.010820.00314 +0.00768
REPUSD 0.011590.00539 +0.00620
SHPINGUSD 0.008860.00305 +0.00581
TLOSUSD 0.007460.00322 +0.00425

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DESOUSD 0.003220.01349 -0.01027
TEERUSD 0.002380.00839 -0.00602
EULUSD 0.003150.00762 -0.00446
NODLUSD 0.001130.00472 -0.00359
BNCUSD 0.001790.00525 -0.00347

Foreign exchange

XAUCNY was the most central name, carrying 6.70× the influence of an average node across 643 pairs.

pairs
643
Density
0.016
Clustering
0.354
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUCNY 1 0.01041 6.70× 4.0% 2.5% XAUSAR, XAUUSD, XAGCAD, XAUINR, XAUZAR
XAURUB 2 0.00797 5.13× 4.8% 1.7% USDFJD, FJDUSD, XAUUSD, XAUZAR, IDREUR
HUFZAR 3 0.00731 4.70× 0.8% 1.1% GBPHTG, HTGGBP, COPMXN, AUDTHB, USDBRL
COPMXN 4 0.00648 4.17× 1.9% 1.7% HTGGBP, PENGBP, GBPHTG, GBPPEN, JPYCZK
ZMWUSD 5 0.00620 3.99× 0.9% 0.3% GBPLYD, CLPBRL
KESUSD 6 0.00613 3.94× 7.2% 3.7% USDGHS, USDZMW, GBPZMW, GBPMGA, MGAGBP
USDPGK 7 0.00578 3.72× 6.4% 3.1% GBPBWP, BWPGBP, ZARBWP, USDBWP, MWKGBP
ZARIDR 8 0.00561 3.61× 4.0% 1.7% XAGCNY, XAGJPY, XAGBRL, XAGKRW, XAGSAR
MXNPLN 9 0.00556 3.58× 1.9% 0.6% PLNMXN, NZDHUF, CLPARS, ZARILS
XAGCAD 10 0.00540 3.47× 4.7% 1.9% XAUCNY, XAUKRW, XAURUB, XAUMXN, JPYCLP

Rising influence vs 2024-06-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUCNY 0.010410.00173 +0.00868
HUFZAR 0.007310.00065 +0.00666
XAURUB 0.007970.00152 +0.00645
ZMWUSD 0.006200.00045 +0.00575
KESUSD 0.006130.00061 +0.00552

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDSEK 0.000810.01090 -0.01009
JPYPKR 0.000300.00887 -0.00857
CLPAUD 0.000610.00863 -0.00802
AUDCLP 0.001070.00802 -0.00695
ZARNZD 0.001030.00739 -0.00637

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.