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Daily network digest

Friday, June 14, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

DVFUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.97× the influence of an average node across 338 assets.

assets
338
Density
0.180
Clustering
0.378
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DVFUSD 1 0.01174 3.97× 56.4% 20.8% LCXUSD, PNKUSD, SWFTCUSD, CTXUSD, BOBAUSD
DESOUSD 2 0.01099 3.71× 60.8% 25.5% ETHUSD, LSETHUSD, CBETHUSD, NKNUSD, DASHUSD
BTRSTUSD 3 0.01047 3.54× 46.6% 28.8% RADUSD, ORNUSD, EWTUSD, HDXUSD, LSETHUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.00896 3.03× 46.9% 14.2% LCXUSD, XDCUSD, RUNEUSD, TIMEUSD, MLNUSD
TEERUSD 5 0.00858 2.90× 43.6% 23.4% ELAUSD, NYMUSD, LITUSD, BTTUSD, BTCJPY
CTXUSD 6 0.00852 2.88× 42.7% 14.5% BNCUSD, COMPUSD, ALICEUSD, KRLUSD, GALUSD
LTCBTC 7 0.00697 2.36× 37.7% 18.7% LPTUSD, LMWRUSD, ANTUSD, BALUSD, QIUSD
EULUSD 8 0.00683 2.31× 41.5% 16.9% BOBAUSD, AERGOUSD, XDCUSD, DOGEUSD, GMXUSD
INVUSD 9 0.00672 2.27× 41.5% 19.0% CTSIUSD, CTXUSD, BTRSTUSD, TRXUSD, MTLUSD
ETHBTC 10 0.00652 2.20× 37.7% 22.6% XDCUSD, ZECUSD, LPTUSD, BNCUSD, BSXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-06-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.008580.00199 +0.00660
DVFUSD 0.011740.00640 +0.00535
BTRSTUSD 0.010470.00603 +0.00444
XRPBTC 0.008960.00542 +0.00355
MEDIAUSD 0.005650.00234 +0.00331

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.002860.01430 -0.01144
PAXGUSD 0.004400.01017 -0.00576
INTRUSD 0.002300.00753 -0.00523
XRDUSD 0.003290.00829 -0.00500
KILTUSD 0.002610.00743 -0.00482

Foreign exchange

USDSEK was the most central name, carrying 9.26× the influence of an average node across 698 pairs.

pairs
698
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.322
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
USDSEK 1 0.01327 9.26× 2.3% 1.0% ZARNOK, NZDKRW, AUDKRW, ZARKRW, ZARINR
PKRJPY 2 0.01018 7.11× 1.6% 0.1% JPYPKR
JPYPKR 3 0.00931 6.50× 1.4% 0.1% PKRJPY
CLPAUD 4 0.00930 6.49× 3.4% 0.1% USDSEK
ZARINR 5 0.00910 6.35× 3.2% 1.3% ZARKRW, CLPAUD, AUDCLP, TRYZAR, MDLUSD
AUDCLP 6 0.00840 5.86× 4.0% 0.4% USDSEK, LKRZAR, MXNZAR
ZARNZD 7 0.00654 4.57× 2.6% 2.7% NZDIDR, GBPPLN, CZKPLN, SEKNOK, NZDPLN
ZARTRY 8 0.00612 4.27× 2.7% 1.1% GBPNGN, COPARS, JPYILS, CADHUF, HUFCAD
NZDHUF 9 0.00593 4.14× 3.3% 0.0%
USDIQD 10 0.00555 3.87× 8.2% 1.9% DKKAED, NZDAED, USDPKR, ALLGBP, GBPCOP

Rising influence vs 2024-06-13

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDSEK 0.013270.00163 +0.01164
PKRJPY 0.010180.00072 +0.00946
JPYPKR 0.009310.00081 +0.00850
ZARINR 0.009100.00235 +0.00674
ZARNZD 0.006540.00030 +0.00624

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JODILS 0.000620.00739 -0.00677
BHDEUR 0.001910.00740 -0.00549
USDCLP 0.000290.00509 -0.00481
XAURUB 0.001650.00610 -0.00445
ZMWUSD 0.000520.00460 -0.00408

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.