catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Thursday, June 6, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.13× the influence of an average node across 337 assets.

assets
337
Density
0.170
Clustering
0.379
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.01226 4.13× 53.9% 37.2% XYOUSD, WAXLUSD, IOTUSD, PNKUSD, RBCUSD
TSDUSD 2 0.01132 3.82× 59.8% 10.4% MOVRUSD, EGLDUSD, PAXGUSD, AURORAUSD, ASTRUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.00997 3.36× 48.8% 15.5% LTCBTC, XRPBTC, KEEPUSD, RADUSD, FXSUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.00916 3.09× 44.3% 15.8% DNTUSD, AKTUSD, KEYUSD, TLOSUSD, DASHUSD
AERGOUSD 5 0.00819 2.76× 41.7% 8.9% RLCUSD, TOKEUSD, ICPUSD, HDXUSD, FETUSD
LTCBTC 6 0.00782 2.64× 36.0% 16.4% BNTUSD, CROUSD, WBTCUSD, KINTUSD, BTCUSD
SHPINGUSD 7 0.00769 2.59× 36.9% 33.6% EWTUSD, BTCJPY, MUSEUSD, RENUSD, MLNUSD
BTCUSD 8 0.00750 2.53× 39.9% 22.9% NEXOUSD, DUSKUSD, LTCUSD, ANTUSD, REPV2USD
WBTCUSD 9 0.00746 2.51× 39.6% 22.3% LTCUSD, NEXOUSD, DUSKUSD, DVFUSD, FIDAUSD
NEXOUSD 10 0.00740 2.49× 37.2% 16.1% REPUSD, ADXUSD, CTXUSD, RBCUSD, 00USD

Rising influence vs 2024-06-05

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.011320.00259 +0.00873
KRLUSD 0.009970.00314 +0.00682
REPUSD 0.012260.00574 +0.00652
WBTCUSD 0.007460.00187 +0.00558
AERGOUSD 0.008190.00304 +0.00516

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DESOUSD 0.002930.01094 -0.00802
TEERUSD 0.001970.00877 -0.00680
EULUSD 0.002360.00694 -0.00458
DVFUSD 0.007280.01158 -0.00430
INVUSD 0.002460.00647 -0.00401

Foreign exchange

PLNMXN was the most central name, carrying 9.62× the influence of an average node across 653 pairs.

pairs
653
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.346
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PLNMXN 1 0.01474 9.62× 4.4% 0.3% MXNPLN, ZARPLN
MXNPLN 2 0.01334 8.71× 3.1% 0.3% PLNMXN, XAUMXN
ZARCNY 3 0.00778 5.08× 4.9% 10.0% UGXZAR, ZARUGX, SZLGBP, GBPSZL, RWFZAR
ZARPLN 4 0.00748 4.89× 5.1% 2.3% XAGSAR, XAURUB, MXNPLN, HUFPLN, PLNMXN
USDPGK 5 0.00743 4.85× 5.2% 1.7% BWPZAR, MWKGBP, GBPMWK, JPYSAR, USDPEN
ARSSGD 6 0.00692 4.52× 2.0% 0.3% NZDTHB, JPYTHB
CHFRUB 7 0.00639 4.17× 1.2% 0.6% JPYCLP, XAUARS, SEKRUB, RUBUSD
XAURUB 8 0.00626 4.09× 4.8% 1.8% PLNMXN, XAGKRW, NZDHUF, IDREUR, ZARPLN
GBPCOP 9 0.00600 3.92× 7.1% 3.2% AUDZAR, SGDARS, ZARCNY, TWDZAR, NZDZAR
XAUMXN 10 0.00582 3.80× 3.2% 2.5% XAGCAD, XAGINR, NOKJPY, JPYNOK, XAUEUR

Rising influence vs 2024-06-05

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PLNMXN 0.014740.00323 +0.01151
MXNPLN 0.013340.00338 +0.00996
ZARCNY 0.007780.00195 +0.00583
ARSSGD 0.006920.00135 +0.00557
USDPGK 0.007430.00188 +0.00555

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDPLN 0.000550.00848 -0.00793
ZARHUF 0.000310.00769 -0.00738
AUDMAD 0.001350.00805 -0.00670
AUDSEK 0.000360.00705 -0.00669
NZDZAR 0.001540.00737 -0.00583

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.