catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Monday, June 3, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

REPUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.90× the influence of an average node across 335 assets.

assets
335
Density
0.169
Clustering
0.374
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
REPUSD 1 0.01164 3.90× 51.8% 37.1% XYOUSD, WAXLUSD, PNKUSD, IOTUSD, CQTUSD
TSDUSD 2 0.01026 3.44× 58.1% 6.0% PAXGUSD, HOPRUSD, XRPAUD, EGLDUSD, POLISUSD
KRLUSD 3 0.00978 3.28× 48.8% 14.7% LTCBTC, XRPBTC, KEEPUSD, MKRUSD, FXSUSD
XRPBTC 4 0.00923 3.09× 44.3% 15.9% DNTUSD, DASHUSD, TLOSUSD, AKTUSD, KEYUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.00829 2.78× 38.3% 17.4% BNTUSD, CROUSD, WBTCUSD, BTCUSD, ZRXUSD
AERGOUSD 6 0.00794 2.66× 39.2% 9.3% RLCUSD, TRXUSD, TOKEUSD, KINUSD, INTRUSD
WBTCUSD 7 0.00764 2.56× 42.2% 25.4% LTCUSD, DUSKUSD, NEXOUSD, REPV2USD, ANTUSD
DVFUSD 8 0.00747 2.50× 39.2% 21.9% ALCXUSD, CELRUSD, BCHEUR, LITUSD, APTUSD
NEXOUSD 9 0.00746 2.50× 35.3% 17.7% REPUSD, CTXUSD, ADXUSD, RBCUSD, AIOZUSD
SHPINGUSD 10 0.00741 2.48× 35.9% 29.6% BTCJPY, EWTUSD, BOBAUSD, MUSEUSD, RENUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-06-02

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TSDUSD 0.010260.00264 +0.00761
KRLUSD 0.009780.00306 +0.00672
WBTCUSD 0.007640.00197 +0.00567
REPUSD 0.011640.00610 +0.00554
AERGOUSD 0.007940.00312 +0.00482

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
TEERUSD 0.001720.00857 -0.00685
DESOUSD 0.003220.00983 -0.00662
NODLUSD 0.001120.00638 -0.00526
EULUSD 0.002410.00711 -0.00470
MVUSD 0.004680.00902 -0.00434

Foreign exchange

XAUCNY was the most central name, carrying 6.85× the influence of an average node across 663 pairs.

pairs
663
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.331
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUCNY 1 0.01034 6.85× 3.5% 2.1% XAGCAD, XAGMXN, XAUJPY, XAUCAD, XAUUSD
PKRJPY 2 0.00976 6.47× 1.5% 0.2% JPYPKR
JPYPKR 3 0.00906 6.01× 1.1% 0.2% PKRJPY
XAURUB 4 0.00757 5.02× 4.5% 1.2% XAGTRY, XAGKRW, XAGCAD, IDREUR, JPYMYR
MXNARS 5 0.00736 4.88× 2.0% 1.4% MXNCZK, CZKMXN, NZDTHB, ARSHKD, ZARAUD
JPYBRL 6 0.00704 4.67× 2.3% 1.1% ZARAUD, ZARTHB, CRCGBP, GBPCRC, KRWCAD
USDPGK 7 0.00668 4.43× 4.5% 1.5% BWPZAR, MWKGBP, GBPMWK, JPYSAR, USDRWF
USDZMW 8 0.00654 4.34× 2.4% 0.9% GBPLBP, GBPLYD, MADUSD, USDMDL, GHSUSD
ARSSGD 9 0.00629 4.17× 2.0% 0.3% NZDTHB, JPYTHB
ZARCNY 10 0.00620 4.11× 4.1% 9.1% ZARUGX, UGXZAR, SZLGBP, GBPSZL, ZARRWF

Rising influence vs 2024-05-31

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUCNY 0.010340.00118 +0.00915
JPYPKR 0.009060.00035 +0.00871
PKRJPY 0.009760.00114 +0.00861
JPYBRL 0.007040.00041 +0.00662
MXNARS 0.007360.00080 +0.00655

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPNGN 0.001600.00977 -0.00817
ZARINR 0.002700.00920 -0.00650
BRLAUD 0.001170.00662 -0.00545
TWDTHB 0.000450.00575 -0.00530
ZARNZD 0.000570.00578 -0.00521

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.