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Daily network digest

Thursday, May 30, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

XRPBTC was the most central name, carrying 3.67× the influence of an average node across 337 assets.

assets
337
Density
0.186
Clustering
0.392
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XRPBTC 1 0.01089 3.67× 54.2% 17.9% XDCUSD, RUNEUSD, LCXUSD, UMAUSD, SWFTCUSD
DVFUSD 2 0.00990 3.34× 52.7% 24.4% CTXUSD, LRCUSD, LCXUSD, PNKUSD, BOBAUSD
MVUSD 3 0.00974 3.28× 55.4% 20.2% NMRUSD, SUIUSD, IOTUSD, PONDUSD, KINUSD
DESOUSD 4 0.00960 3.23× 58.6% 22.3% LSETHUSD, ETHUSD, CBETHUSD, NKNUSD, DASHUSD
INVUSD 5 0.00919 3.10× 47.3% 25.3% FLRUSD, API3USD, PONDUSD, FORTUSD, BOSONUSD
TEERUSD 6 0.00866 2.92× 45.8% 25.6% LITUSD, ELAUSD, RPLUSD, BNTUSD, CBETHUSD
BTRSTUSD 7 0.00852 2.87× 43.5% 41.7% RADUSD, ORNUSD, EWTUSD, ARBUSD, RPLUSD
SRMUSD 8 0.00760 2.56× 45.5% 28.9% LDOUSD, ETCUSD, MEDIAUSD, ZRXUSD, UNFIUSD
FORTUSD 9 0.00759 2.56× 32.1% 12.5% BNCUSD, QRDOUSD, ETH2XUSD, BITUSD, REPUSD
LTCBTC 10 0.00730 2.46× 41.7% 15.8% BALUSD, OSMOUSD, LPTUSD, MASKUSD, SUPERUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-29

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
INVUSD 0.009190.00262 +0.00657
BTRSTUSD 0.008520.00350 +0.00503
XRPBTC 0.010890.00600 +0.00489
SRMUSD 0.007600.00271 +0.00489
TEERUSD 0.008660.00380 +0.00486

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.001920.01224 -0.01032
PAXGUSD 0.004290.00970 -0.00541
KILTUSD 0.002140.00749 -0.00535
INTRUSD 0.001820.00655 -0.00473
SHPINGUSD 0.003510.00767 -0.00415

Foreign exchange

RUBUSD was the most central name, carrying 7.46× the influence of an average node across 664 pairs.

pairs
664
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.338
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
RUBUSD 1 0.01124 7.46× 1.8% 2.7% JPYNOK, SEKDKK, DKKSEK, TRYPLN, HKDJPY
PKRJPY 2 0.00983 6.53× 1.5% 0.2% JPYPKR
JPYPKR 3 0.00882 5.86× 0.9% 0.2% PKRJPY
MXNPLN 4 0.00795 5.28× 3.0% 0.2% RUBUSD
MXNZAR 5 0.00740 4.91× 2.1% 2.6% ZARDKK, ZARSEK, ZARINR, ZARAED, ZARUSD
MDLUSD 6 0.00661 4.39× 3.2% 0.2% MXNZAR
PENCOP 7 0.00607 4.03× 1.7% 1.2% ILSJPY, COPBRL, GBPALL, EURKWD, THBEUR
XAURUB 8 0.00600 3.98× 4.8% 2.1% RUBCHF, XAGTRY, XAGKRW, XAGCAD, NZDHUF
USDPGK 9 0.00566 3.76× 6.2% 2.1% GBPBWP, BWPGBP, USDBWP, BWPUSD, GBPMWK
ZARPLN 10 0.00554 3.68× 5.3% 2.0% XAGSAR, XAURUB, MXNPLN, SEKJPY, HUFPLN

Rising influence vs 2024-05-29

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RUBUSD 0.011240.00247 +0.00877
PKRJPY 0.009830.00213 +0.00770
JPYPKR 0.008820.00204 +0.00678
MXNPLN 0.007950.00143 +0.00652
MXNZAR 0.007400.00166 +0.00574

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
JPYGBP 0.000810.00555 -0.00474
AUDSEK 0.000460.00503 -0.00458
NZDZAR 0.002530.00663 -0.00410
USDPLN 0.000730.00473 -0.00400
ZARHUF 0.000520.00444 -0.00392

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.