catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Monday, May 27, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

MVUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.45× the influence of an average node across 337 assets.

assets
337
Density
0.187
Clustering
0.389
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
MVUSD 1 0.01023 3.45× 56.8% 19.9% NMRUSD, KINUSD, SWFTCUSD, PONDUSD, SUIUSD
BTRSTUSD 2 0.00995 3.35× 50.6% 40.5% RADUSD, EWTUSD, ORNUSD, PROUSD, LSETHUSD
XRPBTC 3 0.00967 3.26× 51.8% 10.4% XDCUSD, RUNEUSD, TIMEUSD, LCXUSD, UMAUSD
DESOUSD 4 0.00905 3.05× 53.6% 22.6% LSETHUSD, CBETHUSD, ETHUSD, FORTUSD, NKNUSD
TEERUSD 5 0.00867 2.92× 44.3% 28.9% ELAUSD, LITUSD, RPLUSD, NYMUSD, NANOUSD
INVUSD 6 0.00789 2.66× 43.8% 23.2% BOSONUSD, CTSIUSD, FLRUSD, PONDUSD, ASTRUSD
SRMUSD 7 0.00773 2.61× 45.5% 26.2% LDOUSD, ZRXUSD, UNFIUSD, ETCUSD, PYRUSD
LTCBTC 8 0.00715 2.41× 41.4% 14.6% MASKUSD, LPTUSD, BALUSD, AURORAUSD, OSMOUSD
FORTUSD 9 0.00702 2.37× 31.5% 11.9% BNCUSD, KINUSD, QRDOUSD, REPUSD, XRPBTC
EULUSD 10 0.00697 2.35× 43.2% 14.3% BOBAUSD, XDCUSD, AERGOUSD, GARIUSD, WOOUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-05-26

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.009950.00451 +0.00544
TEERUSD 0.008670.00351 +0.00516
INVUSD 0.007890.00284 +0.00506
SRMUSD 0.007730.00289 +0.00484
FORTUSD 0.007020.00270 +0.00432

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.001960.01022 -0.00826
KILTUSD 0.002240.00794 -0.00570
PAXGUSD 0.004470.00938 -0.00492
INTRUSD 0.001800.00651 -0.00471
MUSEUSD 0.002750.00724 -0.00449

Foreign exchange

XAUCNY was the most central name, carrying 5.90× the influence of an average node across 670 pairs.

pairs
670
Density
0.012
Clustering
0.333
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
XAUCNY 1 0.00880 5.90× 3.4% 1.9% XAGCAD, XAUUSD, XAUCAD, XAUJPY, XAGINR
JPYBRL 2 0.00807 5.41× 2.2% 1.0% ZARTHB, GBPCRC, CRCGBP, KRWCAD, ZARAUD
XAURUB 3 0.00748 5.01× 4.6% 1.2% XAGCAD, XAGTRY, XAGKRW, ZARTWD, IDREUR
MXNARS 4 0.00682 4.57× 1.8% 1.3% MXNCZK, CZKMXN, ZARAUD, ARSAUD, ARSGBP
USDPGK 5 0.00674 4.52× 4.3% 1.3% BWPZAR, GBPMWK, MWKGBP, JPYSAR, DKKAED
XAGCAD 6 0.00664 4.45× 3.9% 1.9% XAUSAR, XAUCNY, XAUUSD, XAUMXN, XAUKRW
ZARCNY 7 0.00643 4.31× 4.3% 8.2% UGXZAR, ZARUGX, GBPSZL, SZLGBP, ZARKES
NZDTHB 8 0.00628 4.21× 1.5% 1.0% ARSAUD, GBPHTG, HTGGBP, CADTHB, GBPMUR
ARSSGD 9 0.00624 4.18× 1.9% 0.3% NZDTHB, JPYTHB
PLNILS 10 0.00582 3.90× 2.5% 1.8% ILSPLN, OMRGBP, RUBNOK, JODILS, KWDGBP

Rising influence vs 2024-05-24

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUCNY 0.008800.00063 +0.00818
JPYBRL 0.008070.00052 +0.00756
MXNARS 0.006820.00072 +0.00609
USDPGK 0.006740.00091 +0.00584
ZARCNY 0.006430.00072 +0.00570

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
GBPNGN 0.001920.00906 -0.00714
SEKILS 0.000420.00633 -0.00591
ZARINR 0.002780.00852 -0.00574
BRLAUD 0.001150.00651 -0.00536
TRYZAR 0.001170.00653 -0.00536

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.