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Daily network digest

Monday, April 29, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

LTCBTC was the most central name, carrying 3.79× the influence of an average node across 332 assets.

assets
332
Density
0.171
Clustering
0.379
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
LTCBTC 1 0.01141 3.79× 54.4% 24.8% ELAUSD, RNDRUSD, BNTUSD, LPTUSD, REPUSD
AVTUSD 2 0.01000 3.32× 44.4% 9.7% GSTUSD, ASMUSD, ENJUSD, RADUSD, EULUSD
DIMOUSD 3 0.00987 3.28× 52.6% 15.7% DEXTUSD, QNTUSD, RARIEUR, BICOUSD, DYDXEUR
PAXGUSD 4 0.00983 3.26× 54.4% 16.9% KSMUSD, NEOUSD, YFIUSD, PYRUSD, PROUSD
XRDUSD 5 0.00912 3.03× 46.5% 19.0% DEXTUSD, ENJUSD, APTUSD, BITUSD, EWTUSD
DESOUSD 6 0.00849 2.82× 46.8% 22.7% GLMUSD, ETH2XUSD, VOXELUSD, CTSIUSD, ANTUSD
EULUSD 7 0.00837 2.78× 39.3% 15.1% ROOKUSD, ATOMUSD, DARUSD, BTCUSD, PLUUSD
DEXTUSD 8 0.00821 2.72× 33.5% 32.9% ICXUSD, MASKUSD, RADUSD, QTUMUSD, LINKUSD
MVUSD 9 0.00811 2.69× 42.6% 21.5% DUSKUSD, LCXUSD, DENTUSD, KNCUSD, HMTUSD
KILTUSD 10 0.00804 2.67× 39.3% 37.5% HBARUSD, NYMUSD, QTUMUSD, GSTUSD, OCEANUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-04-28

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DIMOUSD 0.009870.00368 +0.00620
EULUSD 0.008370.00227 +0.00610
KILTUSD 0.008040.00228 +0.00577
AVTUSD 0.010000.00503 +0.00497
XRDUSD 0.009120.00417 +0.00494

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AERGOUSD 0.001600.00836 -0.00677
CQTUSD 0.001600.00516 -0.00356
LINKUSD 0.003240.00671 -0.00347
NEXOUSD 0.003920.00735 -0.00344
REPUSD 0.006670.01001 -0.00334

Foreign exchange

BHDPKR was the most central name, carrying 6.87× the influence of an average node across 667 pairs.

pairs
667
Density
0.011
Clustering
0.358
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BHDPKR 1 0.01030 6.87× 2.0% 0.2% PKRJPY
PKRJPY 2 0.01007 6.72× 1.2% 0.2% BHDPKR
MDLUSD 3 0.00778 5.19× 1.8% 0.5% ZARCZK, MXNZAR, CZKZAR
ZARPKR 4 0.00731 4.88× 2.0% 3.6% ZARARS, ARSZAR, CADCOP, COPCAD, MXNCOP
USDNOK 5 0.00688 4.59× 4.7% 0.5% ZARNGN, EUROMR, SGDZAR
USDGHS 6 0.00663 4.42× 1.8% 1.2% USDMDL, ZARGHS, GHSZAR, EURBHD, ALLUSD
GBPCOP 7 0.00592 3.95× 5.0% 3.3% AUDZAR, AEDNOK, ZARCNY, TWDZAR, NZDZAR
ZARNGN 8 0.00578 3.86× 2.4% 2.6% ZARINR, EGPZAR, ZARTRY, LKRZAR, NOKINR
BHDEUR 9 0.00561 3.74× 0.9% 0.8% USDKZT, KZTUSD, PKRUSD, PKRZAR, CADCOP
XAGCAD 10 0.00553 3.69× 4.4% 1.5% XAUSAR, XAUMXN, XAUUSD, XAUKRW, JPYCLP

Rising influence vs 2024-04-26

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BHDPKR 0.010300.00029 +0.01001
PKRJPY 0.010070.00098 +0.00908
MDLUSD 0.007780.00196 +0.00582
ZARPKR 0.007310.00170 +0.00561
USDNOK 0.006880.00142 +0.00546

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AUDPKR 0.000430.00838 -0.00795
SEKILS 0.000360.00632 -0.00595
TRYPLN 0.000720.00612 -0.00539
TNDZAR 0.001070.00612 -0.00504
BRLAUD 0.001120.00593 -0.00481

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.