catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Thursday, April 4, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

ROOKUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.96× the influence of an average node across 333 assets.

assets
333
Density
0.189
Clustering
0.405
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ROOKUSD 1 0.01190 3.96× 63.3% 35.8% MKRUSD, MOVRUSD, HOPRUSD, MLNUSD, DUSKUSD
REPUSD 2 0.00984 3.28× 48.2% 31.3% GRTUSD, MUSEUSD, KP3RUSD, POLISUSD, JUNOUSD
AERGOUSD 3 0.00924 3.08× 48.8% 9.3% RLCUSD, SHPINGUSD, REPUSD, REPV2USD, RAIUSD
LTCBTC 4 0.00904 3.01× 50.0% 21.1% POLSUSD, NEOUSD, KARUSD, RBCUSD, ASTRUSD
KRLUSD 5 0.00881 2.93× 50.3% 20.8% XRPBTC, POWRUSD, ACAUSD, ETHAUD, KEEPUSD
XDCUSD 6 0.00830 2.76× 44.3% 18.7% OXTUSD, INTRUSD, PROUSD, PRQUSD, STGUSD
DVFUSD 7 0.00743 2.48× 47.0% 16.0% QTFUSD, ALCXUSD, APTUSD, CELRUSD, LTCBTC
BTCUSD 8 0.00723 2.41× 43.1% 23.5% DVFUSD, REPV2USD, MULTIUSD, NEXOUSD, BTTUSD
PNKUSD 9 0.00712 2.37× 36.7% 22.9% PERPUSD, FXUSD, BTCJPY, QTUMUSD, EOSUSD
ASTUSD 10 0.00699 2.33× 39.8% 6.6% BTCGBP, BTCEUR, WBTCUSD, BTCUSD, CTXUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-04-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ROOKUSD 0.011900.00371 +0.00819
AERGOUSD 0.009240.00323 +0.00601
KRLUSD 0.008810.00284 +0.00597
CQTUSD 0.006340.00150 +0.00484
XDCUSD 0.008300.00355 +0.00475

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.006510.01456 -0.00805
RPLUSD 0.003250.01122 -0.00797
DVFUSD 0.007430.01403 -0.00660
NODLUSD 0.001690.00618 -0.00448
AIRUSD 0.001010.00541 -0.00440

Foreign exchange

DKKRUB was the most central name, carrying 5.04× the influence of an average node across 667 pairs.

pairs
667
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.350
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DKKRUB 1 0.00755 5.04× 6.8% 1.5% GBPHUF, NZDTWD, MXNPLN, XAURUB, NZDHUF
MXNPLN 2 0.00716 4.78× 3.5% 0.8% ZARIDR, NZDTRY, AUDTRY, TRYJPY, DKKRUB
ZARNGN 3 0.00687 4.58× 3.2% 2.9% EGPZAR, NOKINR, TZSZAR, ZARINR, CLPAUD
TRYPLN 4 0.00682 4.55× 1.7% 1.8% DKKRUB, XAUZAR, XAURUB, XAGRUB, XAGTRY
NOKJPY 5 0.00675 4.50× 4.1% 1.1% MXNPLN, JPYGBP, JPYSEK, SGDJPY, GBPIDR
KWDGBP 6 0.00645 4.30× 3.2% 2.0% GBPBHD, GBPOMR, RUBNOK, THBGBP, ILSJOD
USDNOK 7 0.00582 3.88× 4.5% 0.3% ZARNGN, ILSZAR
USDNGN 8 0.00509 3.39× 0.6% 0.2% XAGARS
AUDTRY 9 0.00490 3.27× 2.7% 2.6% NOKJPY, JPYNOK, GBPHUF, ILSCAD, NZDHUF
ZARTWD 10 0.00480 3.20× 5.1% 0.9% AUDHUF, NOKJPY, XAGGBP, DKKRUB, SEKNOK

Rising influence vs 2024-04-03

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARNGN 0.006870.00156 +0.00530
MXNPLN 0.007160.00197 +0.00519
TRYPLN 0.006820.00185 +0.00497
USDNOK 0.005820.00116 +0.00466
USDNGN 0.005090.00074 +0.00435

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
NOKILS 0.001270.00665 -0.00538
CHFPKR 0.001230.00578 -0.00454
EUROMR 0.003290.00695 -0.00367
AUDBRL 0.000980.00437 -0.00339
ZARGBP 0.001380.00457 -0.00319

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.