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Daily network digest

Monday, March 25, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.92× the influence of an average node across 332 assets.

assets
332
Density
0.197
Clustering
0.401
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01481 4.92× 69.8% 39.6% RADUSD, LSKUSD, DEXTUSD, KP3RUSD, UMAUSD
DVFUSD 2 0.01394 4.63× 68.9% 12.4% 1INCHUSD, RAREUSD, HIGHUSD, PNKUSD, ELAUSD
RPLUSD 3 0.01156 3.84× 59.8% 9.1% BTRSTUSD, SDNUSD, NCTUSD, FLRUSD, ASTUSD
DNTUSD 4 0.00823 2.73× 47.4% 19.6% RPLUSD, LOKAUSD, AKTEUR, DVFUSD, BTRSTUSD
DESOUSD 5 0.00725 2.41× 44.7% 25.7% CBETHUSD, ETHUSD, LSETHUSD, DSHUSD, NKNUSD
GARIUSD 6 0.00663 2.20× 42.9% 32.3% CTSIUSD, UNIUSD, EWTUSD, KP3RUSD, STORJUSD
XRPBTC 7 0.00663 2.20× 42.3% 18.4% KARUSD, ALEPHUSD, XDCUSD, XLMUSD, RUNEUSD
ABTUSD 8 0.00626 2.08× 39.9% 34.4% FARMUSD, RADUSD, QTFUSD, BSXUSD, MLNUSD
CTXUSD 9 0.00598 1.98× 38.7% 15.7% DESOUSD, DVFUSD, AIRUSD, BNCUSD, ANTUSD
REPUSD 10 0.00596 1.98× 37.8% 27.8% LSKUSD, HBARUSD, HOPRUSD, DOTUSD, MATHUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-03-24

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.014810.00427 +0.01054
RPLUSD 0.011560.00380 +0.00775
DVFUSD 0.013940.00890 +0.00504
DNTUSD 0.008230.00344 +0.00479
HDXUSD 0.005030.00157 +0.00346

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XRDUSD 0.003540.00860 -0.00506
AMPUSD 0.001850.00572 -0.00387
KILTUSD 0.001960.00540 -0.00344
RAREUSD 0.002660.00606 -0.00341
TIMEUSD 0.005410.00863 -0.00322

Foreign exchange

DKKRUB was the most central name, carrying 5.76× the influence of an average node across 669 pairs.

pairs
669
Density
0.015
Clustering
0.347
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
DKKRUB 1 0.00860 5.76× 6.9% 1.8% XAURUB, XAGKRW, GBPHUF, NZDIDR, NZDHUF
SGDZAR 2 0.00853 5.70× 2.7% 1.6% USDNOK, ZARDKK, MDLUSD, ZAREGP, USDSEK
ZARRON 3 0.00719 4.81× 0.7% 0.3% USDTRY, TRYUSD
AUDPKR 4 0.00680 4.55× 0.3% 0.6% JPYPKR, TNDZAR, ZARTND, PKRJPY
AUDTRY 5 0.00640 4.28× 3.0% 3.3% NOKJPY, GBPHUF, XAGZAR, JPYNOK, NZDHUF
TNDZAR 6 0.00630 4.22× 1.8% 0.1% AUDPKR
XAGKRW 7 0.00618 4.13× 7.0% 2.4% DKKRUB, AUDTRY, NOKJPY, XAGZAR, PLNMXN
NOKJPY 8 0.00579 3.87× 4.9% 1.2% ZARILS, XAGMXN, XAGBRL, SGDJPY, GBPIDR
USDNOK 9 0.00579 3.87× 3.4% 0.1% SGDZAR
RUBSEK 10 0.00577 3.86× 2.1% 1.9% SEKILS, JPYILS, ZARTRY, ZMWZAR, TRYZAR

Rising influence vs 2024-03-22

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
DKKRUB 0.008600.00134 +0.00726
SGDZAR 0.008530.00149 +0.00704
AUDPKR 0.006800.00028 +0.00651
ZARRON 0.007190.00102 +0.00617
NOKJPY 0.005790.00028 +0.00551

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
INRTHB 0.000760.00791 -0.00715
ZAREUR 0.000470.00738 -0.00692
ZARTWD 0.000580.00741 -0.00683
NZDNOK 0.000270.00657 -0.00630
JPYGBP 0.000420.00571 -0.00529

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.