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Daily network digest

Wednesday, February 28, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

ASTUSD was the most central name, carrying 4.00× the influence of an average node across 340 assets.

assets
340
Density
0.184
Clustering
0.400
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ASTUSD 1 0.01177 4.00× 51.6% 15.3% WBTCUSD, BTCAUD, BTCEUR, BTCUSD, BTCGBP
ZILUSD 2 0.01036 3.52× 50.7% 10.3% INVUSD, ASTUSD, EWTUSD, FLRUSD, ORCAUSD
LTCBTC 3 0.01011 3.44× 50.1% 12.4% RBCUSD, KARUSD, PONDUSD, KEYUSD, NEOUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.01000 3.40× 56.9% 27.4% XRPBTC, RADUSD, RNDRUSD, POWRUSD, MNAUSD
ROOKUSD 5 0.00974 3.31× 56.9% 41.3% MOVRUSD, MKRUSD, ETH2XUSD, AERGOUSD, HOPRUSD
BTRSTUSD 6 0.00812 2.76× 44.8% 31.3% DASHUSD, DSHUSD, RADUSD, CVCUSD, BATUSD
GARIUSD 7 0.00784 2.67× 45.1% 27.7% BTRSTUSD, OXTUSD, OGNUSD, KARUSD, FIDAUSD
MDTUSD 8 0.00751 2.55× 32.2% 34.5% POLSUSD, ATOMUSD, ENJUSD, ICPUSD, SWFTCUSD
ALEPHUSD 9 0.00719 2.44× 43.7% 21.2% BTCUSD, BTCJPY, DESOUSD, MATHUSD, IDEXUSD
CVCUSD 10 0.00693 2.36× 39.2% 7.4% PNKUSD, CHREUR, XMRUSD, KRLUSD, NCTUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-27

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ASTUSD 0.011770.00358 +0.00819
KRLUSD 0.010000.00270 +0.00730
ZILUSD 0.010360.00393 +0.00643
ROOKUSD 0.009740.00389 +0.00584
MDTUSD 0.007510.00263 +0.00488

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AIRUSD 0.002080.00739 -0.00531
RPLUSD 0.003620.00844 -0.00482
INVUSD 0.003360.00781 -0.00446
ASMUSD 0.001530.00536 -0.00383
ERNUSD 0.002160.00569 -0.00353

Foreign exchange

ZARIDR was the most central name, carrying 7.57× the influence of an average node across 685 pairs.

pairs
685
Density
0.015
Clustering
0.323
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARIDR 1 0.01105 7.57× 2.6% 0.4% ZARMYR, HKDMYR, INRMYR
USDALL 2 0.00698 4.78× 9.1% 6.9% LKRGBP, EURBHD, NZDAED, CDFUSD, GBPLKR
HKDMYR 3 0.00655 4.49× 1.0% 0.3% ZARIDR, ZARILS
INRMYR 4 0.00654 4.48× 1.0% 0.3% ZARIDR, ZARILS
XAUGBP 5 0.00597 4.09× 4.8% 2.2% PLNMXN, JPYNOK, XAGZAR, XAGTRY, XAUINR
HUFPLN 6 0.00570 3.90× 0.9% 0.3% MXNUSD, ILSAUD
ZARILS 7 0.00539 3.69× 2.2% 0.4% INRMYR, HKDMYR, NOKSEK
ZARKRW 8 0.00520 3.56× 2.3% 3.2% RONZAR, ZARRON, SEKILS, ILSZAR, AUDUSD
EURKWD 9 0.00515 3.53× 2.0% 1.3% KWDEUR, AUDZAR, ZARTHB, GBPALL, SZLCHF
PKRUSD 10 0.00512 3.51× 6.3% 2.6% ZARMAD, MADZAR, ISKUSD, JPYRSD, EURBHD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-27

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.011050.00221 +0.00883
HKDMYR 0.006550.00028 +0.00627
INRMYR 0.006540.00028 +0.00626
ZARILS 0.005390.00063 +0.00476
HUFPLN 0.005700.00095 +0.00475

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
THBNZD 0.001150.00788 -0.00673
MDLUSD 0.000590.00649 -0.00590
XAUMXN 0.003760.00840 -0.00464
XAURUB 0.003010.00737 -0.00436
ZARPHP 0.000580.00478 -0.00420

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.