catchfire.finance All digests

Daily network digest

Monday, February 19, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

ZILUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.86× the influence of an average node across 340 assets.

assets
340
Density
0.197
Clustering
0.421
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZILUSD 1 0.01134 3.86× 55.2% 13.0% INVUSD, ORCAUSD, ASTUSD, FLRUSD, EWTUSD
ASTUSD 2 0.01056 3.59× 52.2% 16.8% WBTCUSD, BTCAUD, BTCUSD, ICPUSD, BTCGBP
ROOKUSD 3 0.00924 3.14× 57.5% 40.4% MOVRUSD, DUSKUSD, ORNUSD, HOPRUSD, GNOUSD
KRLUSD 4 0.00868 2.95× 55.8% 21.2% RNDRUSD, ACAUSD, XRPBTC, KEEPUSD, JASMYUSD
GARIUSD 5 0.00775 2.63× 48.4% 29.5% BTRSTUSD, OGNUSD, KARUSD, KILTUSD, FIDAUSD
BTRSTUSD 6 0.00758 2.58× 46.9% 26.5% DASHUSD, XRPBTC, FXSUSD, REQUSD, ANKRUSD
NYMUSD 7 0.00731 2.49× 47.2% 17.1% XDCUSD, ALICEUSD, COTIUSD, ALEPHUSD, DIAUSD
XRPBTC 8 0.00730 2.48× 47.2% 24.8% AIRUSD, AURORAUSD, AKTUSD, MUSEUSD, XMRUSD
LTCBTC 9 0.00728 2.48× 41.3% 18.6% PONDUSD, RBCUSD, KARUSD, KEYUSD, GARIUSD
XDCUSD 10 0.00725 2.46× 44.8% 19.8% INTRUSD, OXTUSD, LTCBTC, GSTUSD, PROUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-18

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZILUSD 0.011340.00390 +0.00744
ASTUSD 0.010560.00376 +0.00680
KRLUSD 0.008680.00244 +0.00624
ROOKUSD 0.009240.00415 +0.00509
BSXUSD 0.006250.00210 +0.00414

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
AIRUSD 0.002040.00824 -0.00621
INVUSD 0.003090.00794 -0.00486
ASMUSD 0.002010.00646 -0.00445
ERNUSD 0.002220.00595 -0.00373
BTRSTUSD 0.007580.01117 -0.00360

Foreign exchange

AEDNZD was the most central name, carrying 4.87× the influence of an average node across 695 pairs.

pairs
695
Density
0.014
Clustering
0.346
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AEDNZD 1 0.00701 4.87× 3.7% 1.4% MADAUD, KRWSEK, ILSNOK, AUDMAD, BRLPEN
ZARNGN 2 0.00634 4.41× 2.4% 1.6% NOKRUB, DKKPKR, RUBSEK, EURPHP, NOKINR
EURRUB 3 0.00607 4.22× 3.3% 2.0% GHSZAR, ZARGHS, EURAED, SZLCHF, CHFSZL
KESUSD 4 0.00603 4.19× 5.5% 2.0% MGAGBP, GBPALL, USDZMW, THBCNY, GBPMGA
JODILS 5 0.00511 3.55× 2.4% 1.0% AEDNZD, AUDMAD, TRYSGD, BRLJPY, SEKZAR
PLNMXN 6 0.00503 3.50× 5.0% 3.6% KRWRUB, TRYPLN, XAUINR, XAUSAR, XAUCNY
XAUMXN 7 0.00503 3.50× 5.5% 3.6% XAUEUR, XAGZAR, XAUKRW, RUBJPY, NZDTRY
XAUGBP 8 0.00501 3.48× 4.5% 1.7% PLNMXN, NZDCZK, GBPCZK, NZDMXN, PLNNOK
USDSCR 9 0.00485 3.37× 7.1% 3.6% GBPKWD, GBPBHD, USDCOP, USDMAD, GBPOMR
CNYZAR 10 0.00479 3.33× 5.5% 6.5% NGNUSD, GBPAFN, ARSMXN, GBPMGA, GBPSZL

Rising influence vs 2024-02-16

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
KESUSD 0.006030.00074 +0.00529
ZARNGN 0.006340.00175 +0.00459
ARSUSD 0.004410.00064 +0.00377
EURRUB 0.006070.00269 +0.00339
BRLUSD 0.003590.00046 +0.00313

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
XAUJPY 0.000490.00673 -0.00624
XAURUB 0.002010.00790 -0.00590
CADTRY 0.000900.00567 -0.00477
XAUMXN 0.005030.00979 -0.00476
USDNZD 0.001160.00570 -0.00455

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.