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Daily network digest

Monday, February 12, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.81× the influence of an average node across 340 assets.

assets
340
Density
0.190
Clustering
0.402
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01121 3.81× 60.5% 31.0% DEXTUSD, KP3RUSD, APTUSD, LSKUSD, RARIUSD
AIRUSD 2 0.00855 2.91× 44.8% 33.9% RADUSD, CVXUSD, BALUSD, ETHAUD, NANOUSD
INVUSD 3 0.00833 2.83× 46.9% 15.3% TRXUSD, EOSUSD, XCADUSD, BTRSTUSD, THETAUSD
MVUSD 4 0.00817 2.78× 50.4% 19.5% NMRUSD, NCTUSD, DVFUSD, ETH2XUSD, SYNUSD
LTCBTC 5 0.00811 2.76× 50.7% 23.6% QIUSD, RUNEUSD, PNKUSD, CLVUSD, INVUSD
GARIUSD 6 0.00768 2.61× 47.2% 32.4% EWTUSD, KP3RUSD, ICPUSD, CTSIUSD, LSKUSD
DVFUSD 7 0.00762 2.59× 46.0% 28.9% 1INCHUSD, HIGHUSD, MXCUSD, IDEXUSD, ACAUSD
XLMUSD 8 0.00744 2.53× 41.6% 19.8% ALEPHUSD, RBCUSD, XRTUSD, ORNUSD, TRXUSD
NYMUSD 9 0.00744 2.53× 45.1% 16.5% GARIUSD, BTRSTUSD, XRDUSD, NCTUSD, KILTUSD
RPLUSD 10 0.00742 2.52× 45.7% 12.1% BTRSTUSD, SGBUSD, FLRUSD, AVTUSD, WAMPLUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-11

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.011210.00300 +0.00821
XLMUSD 0.007440.00183 +0.00561
INVUSD 0.008330.00357 +0.00476
DNTUSD 0.007340.00283 +0.00452
SRMUSD 0.007400.00346 +0.00393

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RARIUSD 0.002690.00694 -0.00425
CTXUSD 0.002980.00695 -0.00397
KILTUSD 0.001670.00532 -0.00365
BTCJPY 0.002900.00633 -0.00343
NANOUSD 0.004960.00829 -0.00333

Foreign exchange

PKRJPY was the most central name, carrying 6.60× the influence of an average node across 693 pairs.

pairs
693
Density
0.013
Clustering
0.355
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
PKRJPY 1 0.00952 6.60× 1.6% 0.1% NZDPKR
NZDPKR 2 0.00873 6.05× 0.4% 0.1% PKRJPY
ZARNOK 3 0.00679 4.70× 1.7% 0.9% CLPARS, ARSCLP, EGPZAR, USDZAR, ZARPKR
AEDNZD 4 0.00678 4.70× 3.8% 1.4% MADAUD, ILSNOK, AUDMAD, KRWSEK, GBPTRY
ZARNGN 5 0.00664 4.60× 2.6% 1.6% NOKRUB, DKKPKR, RUBSEK, MDLUSD, USDNOK
XAUMXN 6 0.00613 4.24× 3.6% 2.3% XAUEUR, XAGZAR, XAGAUD, XAGKRW, XAUKRW
EURRUB 7 0.00612 4.24× 3.5% 2.3% GHSZAR, ZARGHS, EURAED, PKRUSD, MADUSD
KESUSD 8 0.00565 3.92× 5.6% 1.9% MGAGBP, THBCNY, GBPMGA, GBPALL, GBPUGX
XAGZAR 9 0.00537 3.72× 3.6% 1.2% XAGARS, USDILS, XAGEUR, XAGCNY, XAGSAR
ARSUSD 10 0.00518 3.59× 1.9% 0.9% EURARS, KZTUSD, USDKZT, AUDZAR, BRLKRW

Rising influence vs 2024-02-09

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
PKRJPY 0.009520.00120 +0.00832
ZARNGN 0.006640.00172 +0.00492
ZARNOK 0.006790.00192 +0.00486
ARSUSD 0.005180.00072 +0.00446
XAGZAR 0.005370.00104 +0.00433

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDNZD 0.000980.00675 -0.00577
CADTRY 0.000810.00599 -0.00518
CHFKRW 0.000500.00534 -0.00484
ZARRON 0.002010.00683 -0.00482
ZARPKR 0.001260.00576 -0.00449

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.