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Daily network digest

Friday, February 9, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.49× the influence of an average node across 341 assets.

assets
341
Density
0.191
Clustering
0.403
Diameter
3

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01023 3.49× 59.4% 33.8% DEXTUSD, KP3RUSD, LSKUSD, APTUSD, RARIUSD
AIRUSD 2 0.00845 2.88× 45.6% 37.9% RADUSD, CVXUSD, BICOUSD, ETHAUD, BALUSD
MVUSD 3 0.00842 2.87× 51.5% 22.4% DVFUSD, ETH2XUSD, NCTUSD, NMRUSD, JASMYUSD
INVUSD 4 0.00817 2.78× 46.5% 19.4% TRXUSD, BTRSTUSD, XCADUSD, FORTUSD, PONDUSD
SWEATUSD 5 0.00808 2.76× 45.0% 29.7% CHEXUSD, CVXUSD, DENTUSD, METISUSD, RPLUSD
XLMUSD 6 0.00777 2.65× 44.7% 20.9% ALEPHUSD, RBCUSD, C98USD, RAYUSD, ORNUSD
GARIUSD 7 0.00764 2.60× 45.0% 36.8% EWTUSD, ICPUSD, KP3RUSD, UNIUSD, CTSIUSD
SRMUSD 8 0.00758 2.59× 46.5% 18.5% ICPUSD, KSMUSD, XLMUSD, AMPUSD, NYMUSD
LTCBTC 9 0.00758 2.59× 50.3% 23.5% INVUSD, QIUSD, CHZUSD, CLVUSD, RUNEUSD
RPLUSD 10 0.00742 2.53× 45.9% 10.0% BTRSTUSD, AVTUSD, FLRUSD, WAMPLUSD, SGBUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.010230.00297 +0.00726
XLMUSD 0.007770.00204 +0.00573
INVUSD 0.008170.00333 +0.00484
SRMUSD 0.007580.00287 +0.00472
AIRUSD 0.008450.00434 +0.00411

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RARIUSD 0.002550.00770 -0.00514
CTXUSD 0.003160.00721 -0.00405
EULUSD 0.003330.00700 -0.00367
BTCJPY 0.002710.00636 -0.00365
KILTUSD 0.001900.00527 -0.00338

Foreign exchange

AEDNZD was the most central name, carrying 5.38× the influence of an average node across 704 pairs.

pairs
704
Density
0.012
Clustering
0.339
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
AEDNZD 1 0.00765 5.38× 3.7% 1.6% TRYSGD, SGDTRY, CADTRY, TRYDKK, MADAUD
XAGARS 2 0.00746 5.25× 3.6% 0.4% XAUGBP, XAUBRL, XAGBRL
XAUGBP 3 0.00731 5.14× 2.3% 1.0% XAURUB, XAGKRW, XAGAUD, XAGARS, XAGUSD
ZARRON 4 0.00683 4.81× 1.3% 0.7% USDNZD, ZARCZK, CZKZAR, RUBUSD, ZAREUR
USDNZD 5 0.00675 4.75× 0.9% 0.4% ZARRON, RONZAR, RUBUSD
USDPGK 6 0.00649 4.57× 5.4% 1.3% ALLGBP, LKRGBP, HTGGBP, USDALL, CRCGBP
ILSPLN 7 0.00611 4.30× 4.7% 1.7% GBPKWD, HUFEUR, CADTRY, CHFTRY, GBPOMR
CADTRY 8 0.00599 4.22× 2.1% 1.0% JODILS, ILSUSD, ILSAED, RUBNOK, HUFZAR
ZARPKR 9 0.00576 4.05× 1.7% 1.6% ZAREGP, ZARDKK, ZARNOK, ZARINR, USDZAR
RONZAR 10 0.00562 3.95× 1.1% 0.9% USDNZD, ZARCZK, CZKZAR, ZAREUR, RUBUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-02-08

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
USDNZD 0.006750.00131 +0.00544
THBNZD 0.005600.00026 +0.00534
AEDNZD 0.007650.00233 +0.00532
CADTRY 0.005990.00080 +0.00519
ZARPKR 0.005760.00075 +0.00501

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
ZARIDR 0.002250.01686 -0.01461
PKRJPY 0.001200.00938 -0.00818
USDKZT 0.000610.00502 -0.00440
KZTUSD 0.000620.00487 -0.00425
XAUMXN 0.001900.00602 -0.00412

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.