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Daily network digest

Monday, January 22, 2024

Directed information-flow networks for this session, covering Cryptocurrency, Foreign exchange. Each class is estimated independently over a trailing one-year window; the tables below rank the assets carrying the most influence within their own network.

Jump to: Cryptocurrency · Foreign exchange

Cryptocurrency

BTRSTUSD was the most central name, carrying 3.59× the influence of an average node across 339 assets.

assets
339
Density
0.197
Clustering
0.412
Diameter
2

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
BTRSTUSD 1 0.01059 3.59× 61.8% 32.5% DEXTUSD, LSKUSD, RARIUSD, FLRUSD, APTUSD
AIRUSD 2 0.00972 3.30× 52.1% 33.1% ETHAUD, RADUSD, BALUSD, UMAUSD, CVXUSD
MVUSD 3 0.00934 3.17× 56.2% 18.3% C98USD, VETUSD, TRXUSD, CROUSD, OXYUSD
OXYUSD 4 0.00760 2.58× 42.3% 33.4% ROOKUSD, ORCAEUR, BATUSD, AERGOUSD, CHEXUSD
SWEATUSD 5 0.00752 2.55× 46.4% 19.8% CHEXUSD, PYRUSD, DENTUSD, METISUSD, ALPHAUSD
SRMUSD 6 0.00746 2.53× 46.7% 20.7% ICPUSD, ZRXUSD, SNTUSD, XLMUSD, KSMUSD
ASMUSD 7 0.00733 2.48× 41.1% 34.0% APEUSD, MKRUSD, LINKUSD, ALICEUSD, SCUSD
DNTUSD 8 0.00731 2.48× 45.9% 36.4% CBETHUSD, ETHUSD, DOTUSD, ETH2XUSD, RPLUSD
RPLUSD 9 0.00721 2.44× 46.7% 16.9% AVTUSD, RAREUSD, ABTUSD, PONDUSD, SGBUSD
ABTUSD 10 0.00715 2.42× 47.0% 16.3% INVUSD, QNTUSD, STGUSD, XLMUSD, ARPAUSD

Rising influence vs 2024-01-21

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
BTRSTUSD 0.010590.00304 +0.00754
AIRUSD 0.009720.00365 +0.00607
SRMUSD 0.007460.00281 +0.00465
DNTUSD 0.007310.00275 +0.00456
XLMUSD 0.006090.00193 +0.00416

Falling influence

SymbolPageRank PreviousChange
RARIUSD 0.002730.00686 -0.00413
QTFUSD 0.002050.00551 -0.00346
WAMPLUSD 0.002000.00530 -0.00330
ABTUSD 0.007150.01020 -0.00305
EULUSD 0.002950.00591 -0.00296

Foreign exchange

ZARIDR was the most central name, carrying 9.93× the influence of an average node across 719 pairs.

pairs
719
Density
0.012
Clustering
0.322
Diameter

Most central

Ranked by PageRank within the session's directed network. “vs average” shows influence relative to a node with no advantage — 1.00× would mean perfectly ordinary.

Symbol#PageRank vs averageReceives fromSends toStrongest outgoing
ZARIDR 1 0.01381 9.93× 2.2% 0.8% DKKRUB, INRMYR, THBMYR, CADMYR, HKDMYR
USDPGK 2 0.00709 5.09× 6.5% 1.8% CADPEN, PENUSD, USDDOP, NGNUSD, USDRWF
XAUMXN 3 0.00645 4.63× 3.5% 2.1% XAUEUR, XAGZAR, XAGKRW, XAUKRW, XAGAUD
SGDARS 4 0.00536 3.85× 1.3% 0.4% CADZAR, EURZAR, AUDZAR
XAGARS 5 0.00521 3.75× 2.4% 0.8% XAURUB, XAUZAR, XAUMXN, XAUINR, XAUSAR
USDSCR 6 0.00520 3.74× 5.0% 3.3% GBPKWD, GBPBHD, GBPOMR, DKKAED, USDCOP
ARSUSD 7 0.00506 3.64× 1.1% 0.4% BRLEUR, AUDZAR, NZDZAR
CNYZAR 8 0.00504 3.63× 6.1% 6.7% ZARUGX, RWFZAR, UGXZAR, ZARRWF, USDSZL
XAUGBP 9 0.00496 3.56× 3.2% 0.6% XAUMXN, XAGZAR, XAGTRY, XAGKRW
CNYAUD 10 0.00494 3.55× 0.6% 0.4% USDPLN, SEKZAR, ZARHKD

How these numbers are produced

Transfer entropy measures how much knowing one asset's past reduces uncertainty about another's future, beyond what that asset's own past already explains. Unlike correlation it is directional, so an edge from A to B means A's moves carry information about B's next move — not merely that they move together.

Each night we estimate transfer entropy across three universes — roughly 1,500 US common stocks, 350 cryptocurrencies and 550 currency pairs — over a trailing one-year window, conditioning on a broad market series so that shared market-wide movement is discounted rather than counted as a link. Edges surviving the significance filter form that session's directed network, from which the centrality figures on this page are computed. Coverage differs by class: crypto reaches back to January 2024, equities to August 2025, so older digests may cover fewer classes.

PageRank ranks an asset by how much influence flows into it from other influential assets. In-degree and out-degree are the share of the network sending information to it and receiving information from it. Betweenness captures how often an asset sits on the shortest path between two others.

The volatility watch score is a model estimate of the probability that an asset sees elevated volatility in the coming sessions. It is a research output, not a forecast of price direction, and nothing on this page is investment advice.